{"id":1913,"date":"2025-02-27T15:45:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-27T15:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/?p=1913"},"modified":"2025-03-10T09:29:38","modified_gmt":"2025-03-10T09:29:38","slug":"nato-rifts-between-the-two-sides-of-the-pond","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/2025\/02\/27\/nato-rifts-between-the-two-sides-of-the-pond\/","title":{"rendered":"NATO: Rifts Between the Two Sides of the Pond"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The initial signs of the scenario outlined by Dr. Youssef, President of, in the 2024 annual geopolitical report<\/a> regarding the challenges facing Europe in 2025, are beginning to materialize\u2014particularly concerning the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine. Europe is compelled to bear the burden of supporting Ukraine, especially after the emergence of disagreements within NATO, particularly between the United States and Europe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In his analysis of the anticipated events in Europe in 2025, published on February 21, 2024, Dr. Youssef stated, \u201c[\u2026] extreme chaos is sweeping through the European Union, driven by several factors.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He pointed out that one of these factors is the pressure U.S. President Donald Trump\u2019s administration will apply. The administration \u201cseeks to end the conflict in a way that does not satisfy Ukraine and European countries. This divergence will create disagreements across the Atlantic regarding the conditions for ending the war, preventing both sides from reaching a consensus. This frustration with U.S. efforts will force Europe to bear the burden of supporting Ukraine through financial aid, purchasing weapons and ammunition, and boosting production to replenish stockpiles and supply Ukraine.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No U.S. Guarantees – Europe Responds<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

On February 26, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump confirmed that Ukraine should \u201cforget\u201d its aspirations to join NATO. \u201cNATO \u2013 you can forget about,\u201d Trump said. \u201cI think that\u2019s probably the reason the whole thing started.\u201d Trump ruled out the United States providing more formal security guarantees, as sought by Kyiv. \u201cI\u2019m not going to make security guarantees beyond very much,\u201d Trump said. \u201cWe\u2019re going to have Europe do that. Europe is their next-door neighbor, but we\u2019re going to make sure everything goes well.\u201d[i]<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In contrast, official European statements and press reports indicate that European countries\u2014especially Germany and France\u2014are attempting to respond to these looming challenges amid declining U.S. support for Ukraine and the possibility of Washington failing to uphold its NATO commitments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWe must prepare for the possibility that Donald Trump will no longer uphold NATO\u2019s mutual defense commitment unconditionally,\u201d Friedrich Merz, the leader of Germany\u2019s conservative party and a potential future chancellor, said in an interview with German broadcaster ZDF. \u201cThat is why, in my view, it is crucial that Europeans make the greatest possible efforts to ensure that we are at least capable of defending the European continent on our own.\u201d In this context, Merz pledged to hold talks with France and the United Kingdom about expanding their nuclear umbrella to include Germany. \u201cWe need to have discussions with both the British and the French \u2014 the two European nuclear powers \u2014 about whether nuclear sharing or at least nuclear security from the U.K. and France, could also apply to us,\u201d Merz said. He urged Europe to \u201cdo everything possible now to be able to defend the European continent independently,\u201d[ii]<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

France\u2019s Nuclear Readiness<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In a related development, The Telegraph revealed that France expressed readiness to use its nuclear power to help protect Europe.[iii]<\/a> The report indicated that French nuclear-armed fighter jets could be deployed in Germany as part of plans to enhance European security amid increasing threats from Washington to withdraw its forces from Europe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A French official told The Telegraph that deploying fighter jets would send a message to Vladimir Putin, while diplomats in Berlin suggested it would pressure Sir Keir Starmer to do the same. Speaking alongside Mr Trump at the podium, Mr Macron said peace \u201cmust not be a surrender of Ukraine\u201d as he also called on Europeans to do more to protect the Continent. Mr. Macron has been pushing Europe to hold a debate on the role that French nuclear weapons can play in the Continent\u2019s defense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Normalization of Nuclear Weapons Use<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

On the Russian side, Moscow warned that the risk of direct military confrontation between nuclear-armed states is extremely high.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Vershinin stated during the High-Level Segment of the Disarmament Conference on February 26, 2024, that the risk of direct military confrontation between nuclear powers is alarmingly high, noting that the situation is deteriorating at a very concerning pace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vershinin said: \u201cWe are approaching the 80th anniversary of the UN amid a severe crisis in the field of international security. The situation is deteriorating at a dramatic rate, and the risk of direct military confrontation of nuclear powers is high. There is widespread growth of tensions and conflicts.\u201d[iv]<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

These statements and preparations affirm what Dr. Youssef pointed out regarding the consequences of Russia\u2019s updated nuclear doctrine in an article published on November 20, 2024, titled \u201cPutin Ushers in a New Nuclear Age<\/a>.\u201d In it, he discussed how one of the most dangerous consequences of the modified Russian nuclear doctrine is the \u201cnormalization of using nuclear weapons in wars.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dr. Youssef added: \u201cThe implications of Russia\u2019s revised nuclear doctrine are profound and far-reaching, particularly its potential to normalize the use of nuclear weapons in warfare. Should this occur, nuclear-armed states might increasingly view their arsenals as viable options in conflicts, lowering the nuclear threshold and rendering nuclear weapons comparable to conventional arms.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He continued: \u201cFurthermore, such developments could trigger a global arms race, with non-nuclear states seeking to acquire nuclear weapons by any means necessary. This proliferation would fundamentally undermine the objectives of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) of 1968 and its subsequent protocols, stripping them of their significance.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

[i]<\/a> https:\/\/www.lemonde.fr\/en\/united-states\/article\/2025\/02\/26\/trump-says-no-security-promises-or-nato-for-ukraine_6738609_133.html<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

[ii]<\/a> https:\/\/www.politico.eu\/article\/europe-nuclear-weapons-nato-donald-trump-vladimir-putin-friedrich-merz\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

[iii]<\/a> https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/world-news\/2025\/02\/24\/france-to-offer-nuclear-shield-for-europe\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

[iv]<\/a> https:\/\/mid.ru\/en\/foreign_policy\/news\/2000358\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The initial signs of the scenario outlined by Dr. Youssef, President of, in the 2024 annual geopolitical report regarding the challenges facing Europe in 2025, are beginning to materialize\u2014particularly concerning the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine. 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Our objective is to uncover the physical laws linking political reality to economic reality to prevent wars, resolve complex crises, and spread peace worldwide.","sameAs":["https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/","https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61552288207858","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/international-center-for-geopolitical-and-economic-research-icger\/?viewAsMember=true","https:\/\/x.com\/https:\/\/twitter.com\/ICGER_ICGER"],"url":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/author\/icger\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/nato.webp","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1913","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1913"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1913\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1915,"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1913\/revisions\/1915"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1914"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1913"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1913"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1913"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}