{"id":2259,"date":"2025-10-15T15:45:25","date_gmt":"2025-10-15T15:45:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/?p=2259"},"modified":"2025-11-03T08:09:42","modified_gmt":"2025-11-03T08:09:42","slug":"intense-afghanistan-pakistan-fighting-eases-with-saudi-mediation-icger-prediction-comes-true","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/2025\/10\/15\/intense-afghanistan-pakistan-fighting-eases-with-saudi-mediation-icger-prediction-comes-true\/","title":{"rendered":"Intense Afghanistan-Pakistan Fighting Eases with Saudi Mediation: ICGER Prediction Comes True"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Heavy fighting broke out along the Afghan\u2013Pakistani border on October 11, 2025, involving artillery exchanges, cross-border raids, and intense gunfire across various frontier zones. The clashes led to the closure of key crossings and the suspension of trade between the two nations until Saudi and Qatari mediation helped de-escalate the situation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The developments corroborate the projections outlined in the 2024 Annual Geopolitical Report<\/a> published by ICGER on February 21, 2025. In the section concerning Asia and Oceania, the report cautioned that \u201cborder incidents between Afghanistan and Pakistan are likely to escalate into violent confrontations between their military forces, with the potential to trigger conflict in 2025\u20132026,\u201d while also noting that \u201cnations such as Saudi Arabia are anticipated to intervene in order to mitigate tensions.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Violent confrontations occurred on October 11 and 12, 2025, along the Durand Line dividing the two nations, involving Taliban forces and the Pakistani military engaging in intense gunfire and artillery exchanges. There were claims of airstrikes on border posts in regions such as Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Taliban government in Kabul announced that they killed 58 Pakistani soldiers and took control of about 25 border posts. Pakistan, on its part, reported 23 of its troops killed and claimed its counterattacks destroyed \u201chundreds of Taliban positions,\u201d resulting in the death of over 200 fighters. Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid confirmed that there were 20 casualties among Afghan forces.[i]<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Major border crossings like Torkham and Chaman, along with secondary routes such as Kharlachi, Angur Ada, and Ghulam Khan, were closed, stopping cross-border trade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On October 12, Afghanistan announced that it had ceased hostilities \u201cat the request of Qatar and Saudi Arabia.\u201d Both Gulf states issued statements expressing concern over the border clashes and urging restraint.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ICGER Annual Report previously warned that \u201cconditions in Pakistan and along its border with Afghanistan are worsening,\u201d citing \u201canalysis of event frequency and volatility indicating increased instability in the area.\u201d
It also projected that \u201cborder developments between Afghanistan and Pakistan are moving toward violent clashes between their militaries, which could escalate into war in 2025 or 2026, leading countries like Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Turkey, and Iran to intervene to repair relations between the two.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

[i]<\/a> https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/articles\/cgmzmn4971zo<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Heavy fighting broke out along the Afghan\u2013Pakistani border on October 11, 2025, involving artillery exchanges, cross-border raids, and intense gunfire across various frontier zones. The clashes led to the closure of key crossings and the suspension of trade between the two nations until Saudi and Qatari mediation helped de-escalate the situation. The developments corroborate the …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2260,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[154,66,31,105,32,34],"class_list":["post-2259","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-political-developments-tracking","tag-afghanistan","tag-dr-youssef","tag-icger","tag-ksa","tag-pakistan","tag-war"],"yoast_head":"\nIntense Afghanistan-Pakistan Fighting Eases with Saudi Mediation: ICGER Prediction Comes True<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/2025\/10\/15\/intense-afghanistan-pakistan-fighting-eases-with-saudi-mediation-icger-prediction-comes-true\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Intense Afghanistan-Pakistan Fighting Eases with Saudi Mediation: ICGER Prediction Comes True\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Heavy fighting broke out along the Afghan\u2013Pakistani border on October 11, 2025, involving artillery exchanges, cross-border raids, and intense gunfire across various frontier zones. 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Our objective is to uncover the physical laws linking political reality to economic reality to prevent wars, resolve complex crises, and spread peace worldwide.","sameAs":["https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/","https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61552288207858","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/international-center-for-geopolitical-and-economic-research-icger\/?viewAsMember=true","https:\/\/x.com\/https:\/\/twitter.com\/ICGER_ICGER"],"url":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/author\/icger\/"}]}},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/e98c4694-ed30-48e4-aea4-230eaf66b24a.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2259","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2259"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2259\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2261,"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2259\/revisions\/2261"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2260"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2259"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2259"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2259"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}