{"id":2624,"date":"2026-10-21T14:32:49","date_gmt":"2026-10-21T14:32:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/?p=2624"},"modified":"2026-10-21T14:40:01","modified_gmt":"2026-10-21T14:40:01","slug":"political-stability-in-syria-power-structures-internal-dynamics-and-future-scenarios","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/2026\/10\/21\/political-stability-in-syria-power-structures-internal-dynamics-and-future-scenarios\/","title":{"rendered":"Political Stability in Syria: Power Structures, Internal Dynamics, and Future Scenarios."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"wp-block-media-text is-stacked-on-mobile\" style=\"grid-template-columns:15% auto\"><figure class=\"wp-block-media-text__media\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/icgers.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/23fb4f3d-193e-455d-a990-ed4f7b84aaa3.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4632 size-full\"\/><\/figure><div class=\"wp-block-media-text__content\">\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-left\" id=\"h-\u0628\u0642\u0644\u0645-\u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u064a\u0644-\u063a\u064a\u0631-\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u064a\u0645-\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0643\u062a\u0648\u0631-\u063a\u064a\u0627\u062b-\u0627\u0644\u0635\u0641\u062f\u064a\" style=\"font-size:18px\">Dr. Ghiath R. Al Safadi<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:15px\"><strong>Dr. of International Criminal Law, lawyer, and researcher in legal and political affairs. Former Head of the Research and Studies Department at IHOPE \u2013 International Hope (Lebanon), and Consulting Director at ADICA Academy (United Kingdom).<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">numerous factors indicate an increasing state of structural fragility within al-Sharaa&#8217;s regime, potentially rendering political change in Syria a viable possibility rather than merely a theoretical hypothesis. Accordingly, this analysis focuses on indicators of change and its potential pathways, as well as the dynamics that may emerge from it, with particular attention to the possibility of reproducing the jihadist structure within the regime itself, based on the structural similarities between the composition of al-Sharaa&#8217;s regime and the former organizational structure of Hay at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS). The analysis also examines the potential implications of such change from the perspective of the positions of Syria&#8217;s various components, on the one hand, and the geostrategic calculations of regional and international powers, on the other:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-fe48e5de wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/drive.google.com\/file\/d\/1hdHIYt6A4K7bK1Jg3fNEHofF2vGuXMzk\/view?usp=sharing\">Click to continue <\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dr. Ghiath R. Al Safadi Dr. of International Criminal Law, lawyer, and researcher in legal and political affairs. Former Head of the Research and Studies Department at IHOPE \u2013 International Hope (Lebanon), and Consulting Director at ADICA Academy (United Kingdom). numerous factors indicate an increasing state of structural fragility within al-Sharaa&#8217;s regime, potentially rendering political &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2625,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2624","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Political Stability in Syria: Power Structures, Internal Dynamics, and Future Scenarios. - ICGER<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/2026\/10\/21\/political-stability-in-syria-power-structures-internal-dynamics-and-future-scenarios\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Political Stability in Syria: Power Structures, Internal Dynamics, and Future Scenarios. - ICGER\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Dr. Ghiath R. Al Safadi Dr. of International Criminal Law, lawyer, and researcher in legal and political affairs. Former Head of the Research and Studies Department at IHOPE \u2013 International Hope (Lebanon), and Consulting Director at ADICA Academy (United Kingdom). numerous factors indicate an increasing state of structural fragility within al-Sharaa&#8217;s regime, potentially rendering political &hellip;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/index.php\/2026\/10\/21\/political-stability-in-syria-power-structures-internal-dynamics-and-future-scenarios\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"ICGER\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61552288207858\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/profile.php?id=61552288207858\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-10-21T14:32:49+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-10-21T14:40:01+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/eng.icgers.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/PHOTO-2026-10-21-14-18-56.jpg.jpeg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"666\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"602\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ICGER Team\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@https:\/\/twitter.com\/ICGER_ICGER\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@ICGER_ICGER\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ICGER Team\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/eng.icgers.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/10\\\/21\\\/political-stability-in-syria-power-structures-internal-dynamics-and-future-scenarios\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/eng.icgers.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/10\\\/21\\\/political-stability-in-syria-power-structures-internal-dynamics-and-future-scenarios\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ICGER Team\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/eng.icgers.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/f86a6b6d19365d29cf5a5b6150048fe8\"},\"headline\":\"Political Stability in Syria: Power Structures, Internal Dynamics, and Future Scenarios.\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-10-21T14:32:49+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-10-21T14:40:01+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/eng.icgers.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/10\\\/21\\\/political-stability-in-syria-power-structures-internal-dynamics-and-future-scenarios\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":178,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/eng.icgers.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/eng.icgers.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/10\\\/21\\\/political-stability-in-syria-power-structures-internal-dynamics-and-future-scenarios\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/eng.icgers.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/10\\\/PHOTO-2026-10-21-14-18-56.jpg.jpeg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Articles\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/eng.icgers.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/10\\\/21\\\/political-stability-in-syria-power-structures-internal-dynamics-and-future-scenarios\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/eng.icgers.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/10\\\/21\\\/political-stability-in-syria-power-structures-internal-dynamics-and-future-scenarios\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/eng.icgers.com\\\/index.php\\\/2026\\\/10\\\/21\\\/political-stability-in-syria-power-structures-internal-dynamics-and-future-scenarios\\\/\",\"name\":\"Political Stability in Syria: Power Structures, Internal Dynamics, and Future Scenarios. - 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